For a more complete understanding of Dolly’s ideas, it is necessary to clarify his understanding of what is called the archetype as the first thing.

You can read the first part of the series here: Ray Talio and The Change of the World Order

According to Talia

In Dolly’s concept, the archetype can be used to study the maximum number of the most important events of the event, their maximum internal form, and then use the given cases, facts, or a primitive source that sets the case for you, or as a primitive trio. .

Cause – effect

So, if we find the archetype, we can see the cos-effect relationship directly. This archeology allows to some extent our needs to separate the essential parts of the event under study from others. In a sense, it is a competent and confirmed assessment of future improvements (if cause X occurs, its effect can be estimated to be Y).

Processes are repeated

Therefore, if we think in this way, we can argue that history, or rather, certain historical processes occur repeatedly in different variations. In this way, Talio explores the rise and fall of the world’s major empires, and tries to make the reader better aware of current events because they have all appeared in different forms in history. In this article, we will introduce the first principle (basic starting point) that Talio does and what I dare to add or comment on.

Historical forces

Talio deals with the following countries: the Netherlands, Great Britain, the United States, Germany, France, Russia, India, Japan and China. To complete the historical context, Spain and Sweden can be added to the list.

Why these states? I believe the answer lies in the possibility of appointing these states as superpowers at a certain point in historical development. It is a modern term that came into use after the Vienna Congress (1814-1815), referring to a state that had a decisive influence in international relations. This influence can be economic, military, diplomatic or cultural, and can be a combination of several influences. The state, understood as a superpower, also has the opportunity to pursue an unrestricted foreign policy.

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All the states mentioned by Tali and given to me in addition met or met the definition of a superpower. As part of a better understanding of the historical processes we follow, it is good to look at them at least briefly. Since the purpose of the article is not to present all the states at once, let’s start with the first three on Dolly’s list.

Netherlands

The Republic of the Netherlands or more precisely the United Dutch Provinces in 1581-1795 was certainly an economic power in the 17th century and accounted for almost half of world trade. Its colonies (New Amsterdam, Netherlands Antilles, Tobago, Cape Colony, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Maluku and others) managed by specialized trading companies (Dutch East India Company) are certainly the most significant economic influence for the Republic.

England

Great Britain was a country that laid the foundation of the influence of its superpower during the reign of Queen Elizabeth I (1533-1603), and during its development it became the first colonial power. During the reign of Queen Victoria (who ruled from 1837-1901), the British Empire occupied a quarter of the world’s land area, until it disintegrated after World War II, fulfilling the definition of a world power.

United States

America became the heir to the British Empire and the world power. However, as far as the United States is concerned, we cannot talk about the colonies in the truest sense of the word, they were the defenders (Puerto Rico, Philippines, Samoa, Panama Canal Zone). The United States began its path to superpower status before World War I, and their star time was the conflict with the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

Conclusion

In the next section, we will look at the historical context of economic crises.

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