- In Brazil, the decision will be made in the run-off at the end of October.
- While Lula flirts with election losers, Bolsonaro looks at the governors.
After the elections before the elections. The first poll has just passedThe two candidates in the run-off, incumbent Jair Bolsonaro and his rival, former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, look to October 30.
There is one question in particular focus in the first week of the midterm elections. What alliances do the two opponents now have to form in order to bring in the lost votes. In Lola’s case, it ended up being around 1.4 million. About 57 million voted for him, more than any president could muster on the first ballot. About 51 million Brazilians voted for Bolsonaro, more than the first ballot four years ago. 40 million votes are still waiting to be grabbed, if you add non-voters and the results of the excluded candidates.
An evolution from Lula’s camp was quickly recognized: He is looking to join forces with both Cerro Gomez (PDT) and Simon Tebet (MDB) sides removed. The two took third and fourth places, respectively, with about three and four percent of the vote, just under 8.5 million in absolute terms. Gomez’s PDT party “unanimously” supports a recommendation for Lula, Ciro Gomez said in a video for each Twitter explained.
In the video, he let it shine through that this wasn’t necessarily his personal preference for his decision. He never mentioned Lula’s name or the Labor Party.
Instead, Gomez spoke of the “last resort” for which he has positioned himself “for the sake of the country” and “on the side of society.” After all, this waxy statement was more than what Gomez declared in 2018: nothing. At the time, he had avoided giving a recommendation and went on vacation instead.
Tibet supports Lula and can hope for a cabinet position
Simone Tibbett declared somewhat more explicitly that her constituents should vote for Lula’s candidate on the second ballot: “Because I see in him a commitment to democracy and the constitution, which I don’t see in the president.” However, the MDB candidate does not speak on behalf of her party, which has avoided the recommendation. The MDB, once a major centrist party, is one of the losers in the election.
Like the PSDB, the party of former President Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Vice President-elect Lula Geraldo Alcumen, MDB lost a lot of voters – mainly in the direction of Bolsonaro. Thus, the political center in particular suffered from the polarization between the left and the right. You may want to wait and see how the run-off odds develop. Her confession may be beneficial to Tibet. She is said to be among the people who could be given a cabinet position if Lula wins the election.
This is especially important for her, because she is considered a promising candidate for the future. However, she did not get a seat in the House of Representatives. But as a minister, she would still be more politically clear.
Some parties avoid a clear commitment
PSDB is also hesitant. Former President Cardoso openly admitted Lula and announced via Twitter that he wanted to vote for him on October 30.
He also posted two photos. One of them shows that Lula had a conversation since they were political opponents. In the second photo, they are holding each other between their arms at a distance – only about 30 years later. The message is clear: despite all the differences in content, everyone respects each other. Cardoso’s party, PSDB, doesn’t want to go that far. It leaves its voters and politicians the freedom to make their own decisions.
But not only political, but also social groups come into the focus of candidates. Catholics are still setting the tone numerically, even if Pentecostal evangelical churches are increasingly overtaking the formal church and, according to predictions, will overtake it in terms of membership at the beginning of the 2000s. That is why Lula visited a Franciscan friar on Tuesday.
It is all, of course, with a clear message for the Catholic camp but also in the direction of evangelicals. Because among the ranks of some fundamentalist churches, such as the second largest in the country, Asembleia de Deus, and whose chief priest is Bolsonaro’s friend Silas Malavia, there have been frequent attacks on Lula, sometimes severe in nature. It was claimed on social media that Lula was “owned by the devil”. An accusation he thought he just had to correct. The phrase “If it weren’t Christian” was written On his website as a title. The list of reasons reads: “1. Lula believes in God and is a Christian” and “2. Lula has no covenant with Satan and has never spoken to him.”
The video showing Bolsonaro with the Freemasons has gone viral
It seems that rival Bolsonaro is no longer sure. Earlier this week, an old video surfaced of Bolsonaro from his days as a congressman giving a speech at the Freemasons. Hot: The Bund is not particularly popular among evangelicals. However, these constitute an important voter base for Bolsonaro. The video went viral.
Videos of alleged Bolsonaro supporters subsequently appeared on social networks, which are intended to show how upset the president’s evangelical supporters are and withdraw their loyalty from the video. These videos cannot be fully verified. The origin of the Masonic video is also unclear. Apparently it did not fail to have an effect. In the end, even Malavia, Bolsonaro’s friend, felt compelled to smooth things over.
But the president also used the first few days after the election to hold talks. It uses a different tactic. Above all, he is looking for solidarity with the governors of populous states. In Rio de Janeiro, Bolsonaro’s husband Claudio Castro clearly managed to win re-election. He has already announced his support.
Romeo Zima also has his mandate in Minas Gerais, where he received 56 percent of the vote. Minas is a densely populated state, which makes it a major state. There are a total of more than twelve million votes to get it. The race for governor in the most populous state of São Paulo is still open. A total of 27 million polystas could have a significant impact on the outcome of the elections there at the end of October.
Governor von Sao Paulo will play Bolsonaro Helven
Bolsonaro’s chances are not bad. Like Bolsonaro, his ally, candidate Tarcisio de Freitas, achieved a surprisingly good result that was not expected with such clarity. In the end, at 42.3 percent, he was about seven percentage points ahead of Fernando Haddad (35.7 percent), the Labor Party’s candidate and 2018 presidential candidate. Both must now compete against each other in the run-off. Outgoing Governor Rodrigo Garcia has already announced that he wants to support Bolsonaro and de Freitas in the runoff.
PSDB’s Garcia, who has been the uninterrupted governor of São Paulo for nearly 30 years and is now not doing so for the first time in a long time. The decision in favor of Bolsonaro, who opposes the old Mr. Cardoso, for example, shows indecision and the party’s internal turmoil. Because their candidate, Eduardo Leyte, is still hoping to secure the support of Lula and the Workers’ Party in the run-off for governor of Rio Grande do Sul.
The first developments appear: the race for the presidency of the republic in Brazil More open after the first poll than many expected. Both candidates, Lula and Bolsonaro, have an equally good chance of winning the run-off on October 30.
Sources used:
- resultados.tse.jus.br: All election results
- Posted on Twitter by Ciro Gomes, Oct 4
- Twitter-Post von Fernando Henrique Cardoso, 5. October
- lula.com.br: Lula is a Christian. It has nothing to do with Satan worship.
Brazil’s presidential election will be decided in a run-off on October 30th. In Sunday’s election, rival Luis Inacio Lula da Silva lost an absolute majority.
