In a recent study, SPD presidential candidate Olaf Scholes now outperformed Armin Lacet (CDU) and Annalina Bairbach (Greens). The union currently stands at 28 percent, with Greens and SPD being equal.

SPD Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholes is ahead of Union candidate Armin Lashett (CDU). If the chancellor is directly elected in Germany, 20 percent of participants in an online poll conducted by the opinion research firm Yukov between July 23 and 26 will select Sholes, the current finance minister. 15 percent will elect NRW Prime Minister Lashett, while 13 percent will vote for the Green Party and presidential candidate Annalena Barbach.

The positions of Lacette and Scholes are thus altered. A month ago, the union candidate was 21 percent, while his rival from the SPD was 16 percent. Fairbanks fell 2 percentage points. Lachet’s actions in the aftermath of the mid-July catastrophe in northern Rhine-Westphalia are a possible explanation, where he criticized the failed performance.

When it comes to parties, the union is ahead

The Chancellor was not directly elected in Germany. Instead, the parties will be on the ballot for the September 26 federal election, some of which will negotiate the formation of a coalition after the election. The ruling parties generally hold a majority in the Bundestack. As a rule, the strongest party also provides the head of government.

“If the general election takes place next Sunday, which party will you vote for?” When answering the question. CDU / CSU was up 28 percent (minus two points compared to the previous month), SPD (plus 1) and Greens (minus 3) were up 16 percent. AfD and FDP each managed to improve by one point to 12 percent. On the left will be eight percent (plus 1).

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Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party affiliations and increasingly short-term voting results make it more difficult for opinion research organizations to weigh the data collected. YouGov offers statistical error tolerance of 2.1 percentage points (with a 30 percent ratio) and 1.0 points (with a 5 percent ratio). In principle, polls only reflect opinion during the survey and not predictions for election results.


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