Are there really only 40 patients per 100,000 inhabitants in France?

The passing of Laurent Tubiana, researcher at Inserm, to CNews Thursday, December 23, sparked a reaction on social networks. He was talking about the rise in Covid-19 cases and the Omicron variant. “The figures refer to 40 patients in one week for every 100,000 citizens in France,” he said.

The information that challenged many Internet users due to the latest data showing more than 900,000 cases were detected within 24 hours in the country, a record number since the beginning of the epidemic. And under Twitter’s publication of the news channel, it was circulated several thousand times, while some understood that the number was wrong, others believed that the government was manipulating the announced numbers.

From fake

As he pointed out during his talk, researcher Laurent Tubiana relies on personalities from guards network. It is a network of approximately 1,300 volunteer general practitioners spread across all regions, responsible for reporting health data, especially infectious diseases, for research and epidemiological studies.

to me The second page of the weekly newsletter, it is already possible to read that in the week of December 13-19, “IRA incidence [Infection respiratoire aiguë] Because of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) virus seen in a GP consultation, it has been estimated at 39 cases per 100,000 residents.”

But data from the Sentinels network is integrated into coordinated global national monitoring by Public Health Franceand, therefore, do not list data on Covid-19 in hospitals or nursing homes. So the figure announced by Laurent Tubiana should not be confused with the figure for all Covid-19 patients in France.

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The epidemiological point published on the Public Health France website For the 50 week that the researcher counts, the incidence is 550 cases per 100,000 residents. An increase of 8% over the previous week. Data that includes the figure announced by Laurent Tubiana, which represents only cases identified by general medicine.

As of December 20, these indicators were already slightly higher than Average incidence of 565.2 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Note that this rate covers the entire population. It is the highest in the age group from 30 to 39 years, with 838.2 cases per 100,000 people. Figures doomed to increase given the record number of positive people reached on December 23.


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