International Crisis Group releases analysis of the new President of Iran
The ICG said that now is the time for the U.S. and Iranian leaders to come to the negotiating table and discuss regional security. Sanctions were placed on Iran recently in protest of its nuclear program. The ICG said Rouhani's induction into the nation may help improve the economy if those doors can be opened again.
The ICG acknowledged that some see Rouhani as crooked, giving the Iranian people hope while allegedly sneaking nuclear weapons into the country. The ICG gave its objective observations of some of the indicators that can give leaders clues about the direction Rouhani may want to take Iran, but also noted that the risk assessment on Rouhani is not high due to Iran's political system of checks and balances.
"Several elements nonetheless can be of utility in seeking to make predictions," the authors of ICG's risk assessment said. "The first has to do with the nature of Iranian politics. Presidents are far from all-powerful, having to contend with myriad competing centers of authority and influence, overt and covert, of which the Supreme Leader is only the most obvious. Fundamentals have not changed: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei retains final say."
The ICG report said that although a change in presidents may change small things, the main objective of the country remains the removal of its sanctions, which U.S. President Barack Obama has the power to do.
"The promise embodied by Rouhani's election can grow or quickly fizzle," the authors said. "As he takes office and comes face to face with myriad domestic and foreign challenges, it would be a good idea for the West to encourage him to move in the right direction."